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  • Elections and Overconfidence

    With less than a month to the election, we look at the dangers of overconfidence, analyze sector performance under tremendously different legislative environments, and discuss whether you should reduce risk prior to November 3rd. “It ain’t what you don’t know that gets you into trouble.┬áIt’s what you know for sure that just ain’t so.” -Mark...

  • Does GDP Matter to Stocks?

    Sometimes what should make sense simply doesn’t. This is especially true this year. We just witnessed the worst quarterly economic data in history, yet markets have now officially made up all of their losses from the COVID crash. This begs the question…does GDP matter to stocks? “A man should look for what is, and not...

  • COVID vs. The Fed

    Something we at IronBridge have been discussing over the past month has been an expectation that COVID cases would rise following Memorial Day and the opening up of the economy and society. This is now happening. In financial markets, increased risks around COVID are battling the liquidity tsunami from the Fed. Who will win? “Those...

  • Dispersion

    A theme has developed over the past month that likely has a great deal of importance to investing over the next few years. It is called “dispersion.” We have seen financial markets disconnect from the real economy, and assets within markets are showing massive differences in performance. What does this mean and how can you...

  • Making Sense of the CARES Act

    The CARES Act provides an estimated $2 trillion in fiscal stimulus to combat the economic impact of COVID-19 and provides the healthcare industry the financial support, equipment and protection it needs to help combat the virus. “The purpose of government is to enable the people of a nation to live in safety and happiness.” -Thomas...

  • Expectations vs Reality

    In our previous report, we discussed how earnings for the next two quarters are likely to be some of the worst numbers in history. Does that mean markets will fall in response? Not necessarily. For it’s not the actual economic numbers that matter…it’s how the actual numbers differ from their expectations that truly drive prices....

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