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  • The Most Interesting Rate Cut in the World

    Despite relatively good economic data, a record high stock market, and low unemployment, the Federal Reserve will likely cut rates at their next meeting on July 30-31. Why would they do this? And how should we think about the potential impact from the most interesting rate cut in the world? Market Microscope What will happen...

  • Do Earnings Matter?

    Earnings reports are one of the most watched and analyzed metrics in global markets today. Earnings declined in the first quarter of the year, and are currently at risk of printing back-to-back declines for the first time in 3 years. But do earnings matter? Or is there something more constructive we can be doing? Market...

  • Climbing the Wall of Worry

    There is an old saying that markets “climb a wall of worry” and “slide down a slope of hope”. Given the incredibly bizarre nature of today’s investment world, it seems the wall of worry is alive and well. We examine the effects of tariffs, and look at three potential paths the market may take for...

  • Three Principles for a Better Portfolio

    Markets are full of surprises. We have seen plenty over past the week, and even more over the past few years. Should we be surprised though? We discuss three principles to help improve portfolio construction to help deal with the inevitable surprises that will occur as investors. Market Microscope Use Principles to Guide your Process...

  • Yes Dear

    The past six months have been good and bad to both bulls and bears. Bullish investors have participated in an amazingly strong 2019, but had to tolerate a loss of over 20% of their capital in Q4. While bearish investors were feeling great around Christmas, only to see their pessimism crushed with the markets moving...

  • We Were Inverted

    Over the past week, parts of the yield curve have inverted for the first time since prior to the ’08 financial crisis. Many investors view an inverted yield curve as one of the first indications that the economy is entering into a recession. While it does have some historical importance, the actual significance is much...

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